Understand the numbers.

The statistical estimate produced by the OddsCrew model for a player's performance in a specific market.

The reference number available in the market when the projection is collected and frozen.

Projection minus market line. A positive gap means the model projects above the market number. A negative gap means it projects below it.

A measure of how much a player's historical results vary. Lower volatility generally means the player's past outcomes have been more consistent.

Mean Absolute Error. It measures the average distance between a projection and the actual result. Lower MAE means smaller average prediction errors.

The average absolute error of OddsCrew projections compared with the actual results.

The average absolute error of the frozen market lines compared with the same actual results.

A frozen projection that passes the predefined V12 selection criteria. Qualification does not by itself establish a validated directional edge.

Evaluating projections that were frozen before the outcomes were known instead of adjusting the model after seeing the results.

The current OddsCrew research model. V12 evaluates model-to-market discrepancies alongside historical uncertainty and applies frozen qualification criteria before results occur.

A frozen observation that remains included in normal model-performance calculations.

A frozen observation preserved in the permanent record but excluded from performance calculations under the documented exclusion policy.