Dawson Knox
Receiving Yards
Market12.5
Projection23.7
Gap+11.2
Volatility17.6
ODDSCREW SPORTS ANALYTICS
Sports analytics.
Built in public.
Data-driven NFL projections, market analysis, and transparent forward testing. OddsCrew freezes qualifying model projections before results and tracks what happens next.
Current ModelV12
Qualified This Week6
Validation StatusForward Testing
CURRENT BOARD
Qualified Projections
NFL 2026 ยท WEEK 2
Current frozen weekly projections that satisfy OddsCrew's predefined V12 qualification criteria. Qualification is a model-selection signal, not a guarantee of an outcome.
ABOVE MARKET
QUALIFIED MODEL PROJECTION
Patrick Mahomes
Rushing Yards
Market15.5
Projection28.9
Gap+13.4
Volatility18.6
Bhayshul Tuten
Rushing Yards
Market52.5
Projection28.7
Gap-23.8
Volatility20.7
Xavier Worthy
Receiving Yards
Market37.5
Projection31.6
Gap-5.9
Volatility22.9
Jaxson Dart
Rushing Yards
Market29.5
Projection37.0
Gap+7.5
Volatility24.5
Tyler Warren
Receiving Yards
Market45.5
Projection39.9
Gap-5.6
Volatility25.1
TRANSPARENCY
Track Record
FORWARD TESTING IN PROGRESS
Results will stay public.
OddsCrew is building its forward record without retroactively changing qualification rules based on new results. Completed weeks will become the public performance history.
No premature headline record.
We are intentionally not presenting a headline win rate before enough untouched forward observations have accumulated. Current model: V12. Current week: 2. Qualified this week: 6.
THE PROCESS
How OddsCrew Works
Research is separated from hindsight: evaluate the market, generate the model projection, apply frozen criteria, record qualifying projections, then grade the results.
01MARKET
Collect the current player-prop market.
02MODEL
Generate independent player projections.
03FILTER
Apply predefined qualification criteria.
04FREEZE
Save projections before results.
05GRADE
Compare projections with actual results.
RESEARCH
Methodology
Market-aware projections
V12 compares historical player production with the sportsbook market line and identifies discrepancies between its projection and the posted line.
Uncertainty matters
Historical player volatility is used as an uncertainty filter. A projection must satisfy the frozen research criteria before appearing as qualified.
Frozen before results
Qualifying projections are recorded before results are known, creating a cleaner forward-testing process.
No guaranteed outcomes
Qualification is not a guaranteed result or validated win probability. Forward results are used to evaluate the system.
ABOUT
Building OddsCrew
Data. Research. Edges.
OddsCrew is an independent sports analytics project focused on transparent, data-driven tools for analyzing sports markets. The current research program begins with NFL player projections and ongoing forward testing.